Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1483.394990 1727.781241 2013.869113 2377.130053 2831.332261 3387.591780 4.131607e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1158.844241 1463.844520 1862.736006 2436.837327 3266.951347 4466.359055 6.417657e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 974.181248 1293.076233 1740.062429 2438.487539 3555.284258 5378.253463 8.846629e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 865.414702 1194.860980 1683.256859 2500.743731 3927.858087 6533.356067 1.231612e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 748.878016 1062.405049 1545.746157 2395.686819 3979.195239 7131.814679 1.507505e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 661.437695 959.764802 1435.033839 2306.883791 4026.931693 7732.903457 1.828399e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 589.183285 870.895036 1332.065474 2208.732419 4025.771908 8225.846994 2.163471e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 563.353958 853.055629 1344.578661 2324.639404 4498.525905 10053.044914 3.115274e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 532.626134 822.842847 1330.224056 2384.043975 4865.006574 11812.826983 4.314198e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 500.311934 786.008671 1298.304692 2400.319599 5134.438802 13460.467683 5.790396e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 467.466537 744.710363 1252.485217 2377.739054 5299.152332 14888.587689 7.509128e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 450.204253 729.489874 1254.467198 2461.733086 5782.537905 17818.647701 1.132335e+05
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 437.329186 721.844593 1272.121345 2590.998358 6467.348916 22292.900751 1.941529e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 419.619414 703.433227 1265.749032 2662.281807 7014.273515 26855.075136 3.279313e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 397.798972 674.937417 1234.484355 2663.921555 7335.155015 30719.589959 5.218911e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 383.391597 659.540210 1229.356353 2733.871934 7937.747072 37219.808357 1.029155e+06
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 356.618620 617.267451 1160.363246 2615.885817 7783.604619 38531.307396 1.395843e+06
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 333.597176 580.912833 1101.186867 2516.300684 7673.748510 40167.774784 1.982690e+06
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 311.851442 545.703952 1041.496394 2406.392301 7489.368288 41098.255752 2.716712e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 307.402870 545.616306 1062.267471 2536.201224 8393.600709 53457.705364 1.160859e+07
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 299.152771 536.909082 1061.884785 2602.821650 9061.079287 65741.269240 7.743060e+07
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 288.688902 522.712968 1046.868495 2621.084825 9513.781504 77310.092037 2.130223e+09
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 276.642708 504.290101 1019.781240 2595.747998 9738.177414 86902.681319 NaN